Database Development, Labor Supply Information Pilot Study

Of all the data examined, three types were found to be most useful in quantifying the industry’s local labor supply situation: labor force inventory, projections, and demographics. For each of these, information exists that is useful and can be improved in content and format. All is generated by government statistical agencies. (SD-48, p. 10)

Federal funds permit a survey sample which results in statewide data outputs. In order to provide sub-state data, the state must allocate additional funds to enlarge its sample size. Ohio is one of the few states doing this. This is not a problem in small states or those in which one metropolitan area accounts for a dominant portion of industry employment. In those states with a number of metropolitan areas that are independent labor markets, it can be a significant data deficiency. (SD-48, p. 23)

The worker inventory is important on its own, but it is also the benchmark for estimating future needs. In Ohio, the data confirm the overwhelming dominance of replacement as the primary reason for needing to attract new entrants. The replacement estimates use conservative assumptions that exclude shifts to other industries. They, therefore, understate the replacement needs. (SD-48, p. 24)

Emphasis is placed upon demographic data because the importance of replacement demand in identifying future needs. These data are also more objective than growth projections, which, in the past, have often not identified even long-term employment changes. The main sources of demographic data are the 1980 Census and updated state projections. (SD-48, p. 24)